NoBicDeal

Seen this cycle before—defense pops, then fades.

Watching $SOXS for a pullback into last week’s support; if it holds, I’ll fade spikes toward the open.

Volatility around national security spending usually means choppy earnings and policy whiplash. I’m eyeing $SOXS on dips, plus related names like $LMT and $RTX for defense overhang. If budgets tighten, I’ll rotate into cash; if they expand, I’ll chase.

Feels like panic selling, not a trend change.

Seen this movie in 2016 and 2020: dollar spikes, local debt balloons, then a messy recovery. Patience beats chasing bottoms.

Everyone’s cheering the shocker, but I’m not convinced this is a clean entry. TTDC is still leveraged to a weak Caribbean economy, volatile FX, and a shaky credit backdrop. I’d rather trim beta and keep core cash.

Kinda bullish on Intel, but is this overhyped?

Feels like the market’s leaning on hype more than facts here. Calling SOXS a potential backup for GOOGL and NVDA is fun, but I’m uneasy. Supply contracts take years, and Intel’s backlog isn’t exactly a moonshot.

Anyone have numbers on SOXS’ current AI chip orders versus NVDA and AMD? What’s the actual mix of AI/CPUs versus GPUs in their pipeline?

Everyone assumes the Google tie-up kills SpaceX’s relevance, but 4T isn’t just hardware; it’s integration, talent, and ecosystem lock-in. If xAI’s AI boom cools, Starlink’s demand could rebound faster than expected.

How do we know the “few connections” aren’t just underpenetrated markets, not a systemic problem? Are Starlink’s LTV/CAC improving, or is this just a temporary dip before subsidies end?

I’m torn. If xAI really pivots away from heavy compute, that’s a relief for $SPCX’s balance sheet, but it also means Starlink monetization faces headwinds. I’ll keep buying dips if execution stays solid.