Everyone cheering a squeeze; I smell fading momentum.
Tech-heavy QQQ outperforming SPY again feels like a sector premium. If growth keeps outpacing value, the squeeze could persist, but I’m cautious about earnings season.
Kinda confused, does this mean I should buy now?
Consecutive weeks closing at or under max pain — 5 weeks
Longest consecutive weeks closing at or under max pain — 14 weeks
IV30 data (free, account needed) — https://marketchameleon.com/Overview/GME/IV/
Max Pain data (free, no account needed) — https://chartexchange.com/symbol/nyse-gme/optionchain/summary/
Fidelity IV data (free, account needed) — https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/ivIndex?symbol=GME
And someone suggested:
What is implied volatility (IV)? —
From Investopedia: IV is a forward-looking measure of how much the market expects the price to change before an option expires. Higher IV means higher option prices. Big swings in stock prices lead to higher IV, which in turn increases option prices. If prices stay steady, IV drops.
IV is just one of many factors (called 'greeks') used to price options.
What is historical volatility (HV)? —
From Investopedia: HV measures how much the stock price has varied from its average over a period. It shows how 'risky' a stock or option is. Higher HV means more risk. Lower HV means it's safer.
If anyone wants to add knowledge or correct mistakes, feel free.
What is 'Max Pain'? —
In this context, max pain is the price where most options expire worthless. Some believe market players push prices to this point to hurt option buyers.
Final thought —
This data shouldn't be used alone to make decisions (obligatory #NFA disclaimer). It's just one piece of a vast, complex puzzle that's beyond my grasp. Mostly, it's just to keep folks updated on key option metrics used by writers to trick us on a weekly or quarterly basis if we decide to play options.
Holding BTC, but not trusting spot right now.
Are these spot losses mainly exchange wallets, or does it bleed into futures and perps like COIN/BTC? How do spot vs. perp spreads factor in?
Not in yet, but if this keeps happening, I’ll wait for a cleaner spot setup before touching BTC.
Everyone’s treating this as a real signal, but it’s just one employee’s speculation. If Meta truly wanted to raise capital, wouldn’t they say so? And why would they do it now, with ad growth slowing and margins under pressure?
Feels like a distraction. I’m not chasing META on this rumor; watching for a pullback into support before considering a scalp.
Higher rates still make dilution politically risky, right?
