If $TSLA is trading at ~$250, a 200% move in 10 minutes would imply a 100-point swing, which is extreme. Implied volatility would need to spike 10x overnight, and slippage on a 200% pop is brutal.
10-minute 200% move is statistically implausible.
Basically, someone’s saying $TSLA could jump 100% in minutes. That’s wild, but also probably overdone unless volatility explodes.
If execution holds, this could compound nicely.
Not convinced this is a durable thesis. Position sizing feels too big until earnings and cash burn are clearer.
So basically PLTR is down a lot, and people are nervous. The headline says they’re diving deep, which means it’s a tough spot. Feels scary, but I’m trying not to let it scare me.
Been holding $QQQ since 2018, still nervous about Friday spikes. Feels like we’re rerunning the tape.
Everyone assumes panic sells, but liquidity vanished then.
Black Monday wasn’t just a 50% downdraft; it was a liquidity collapse. VIX spiked 12x, cash markets dried up, and the S&P 500’s 1987 drawdown was 22.6%. Today’s tighter spreads and electronic trading make a repeat less likely, but fear spikes can still whipsaw.
